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Yet another silly 'predict the time' game
Posted: Fri Dec 30, 2011 8:54 pm
by Ben Wilson
As many of you may know, due to the phenomenal amount of spambots who try to register at c4c, Charlie or myself have to approve every new member who registers here. This has resulted in the odd situation that whilst it says on the front page that there are 1226 members, the newest member has the id 46434. I've just had #48500 drop in my inbox, and immediately drop out of it again (no Countdown discussion for you, Isaac3926).
So, your game is to predict when #50000 drops into the inbox. Winner gets something trivial and probably imaginary at COLIN.
Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game
Posted: Fri Dec 30, 2011 10:15 pm
by Matt Morrison
Monday 16th January at 2:02am.
I was originally going to say Friday 13th January at 1:53pm then I realised how ridiculous that would be! Chortle.
Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game
Posted: Sat Dec 31, 2011 1:29 am
by Gavin Chipper
Friday 13th January at 10:00am.
Matt Morrison wrote:I was originally going to say Friday 13th January at 1:53pm then I realised how ridiculous that would be! Chortle.
Why would that be ridiculous?
Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game
Posted: Sat Dec 31, 2011 10:01 am
by Thomas Carey
18th January 2012, 10:05 pm.
Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game
Posted: Sat Dec 31, 2011 10:21 am
by James Robinson
January 3rd, 17:15.
Wonder why I picked that time
Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game
Posted: Sat Dec 31, 2011 11:45 am
by Jon O'Neill
20th Jan, 00:00.00.
Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game
Posted: Sat Dec 31, 2011 12:06 pm
by Eoin Monaghan
January 21st - 12 noon.
Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game
Posted: Sat Dec 31, 2011 12:11 pm
by Jennifer Steadman
15th Jan, 3pm.
Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game
Posted: Sat Dec 31, 2011 12:53 pm
by Ian Volante
18th Jan, 16:24.
Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game
Posted: Sat Dec 31, 2011 1:08 pm
by Matt Morrison
I'm so confident.
Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game
Posted: Sun Jan 01, 2012 2:20 pm
by Graeme Cole
11th January, 11:11:11.
Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game
Posted: Sun Jan 01, 2012 2:28 pm
by Jayne Wisniewski
15 January 22:08 ( my birthday and time )
Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game
Posted: Sun Jan 01, 2012 6:19 pm
by Kirk Bevins
13 January 12:34pm
Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game
Posted: Fri Jan 13, 2012 6:19 pm
by Ben Wilson
Matt M- Monday 16th January at 2:02am.
Gev- Friday 13th January at 10:00am.
Tom Carey- 18th January 2012, 10:05 pm.
Jono- 20th Jan, 00:00.00.
Eoin- January 21st - 12 noon.
Jen- 15th Jan, 3pm.
Ian- 18th Jan, 16:24.
Graeme- 11th January, 11:11:11.
Jayne- 15 January 22:08 ( my birthday and time )
Kork- 13 January 12:34pm
Just 46 more spambots to go. So obviously, no more entries please.
Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game
Posted: Sat Jan 14, 2012 11:45 am
by Ben Wilson
Final score was
14th January 2011 at 5:47 AM, making this YAKBV, so well done to Kirk.
...And no congratulations to belindae8837 who will not have its account authorised on the grounds of not being, well, human.
Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game
Posted: Sat Jan 14, 2012 11:48 am
by Rhys Benjamin
Ben Wilson wrote:Final score was 14th January 2011
In that case, it's Graeme Cole.
Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game
Posted: Sat Jan 14, 2012 12:41 pm
by Graeme Cole
Rhys Benjamin wrote:Ben Wilson wrote:Final score was 14th January 2011
In that case, it's Graeme Cole.
Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game
Posted: Sat Jan 14, 2012 1:15 pm
by Rhys Benjamin
Graeme Cole wrote:Rhys Benjamin wrote:Ben Wilson wrote:Final score was 14th January 2011
In that case, it's Graeme Cole.
Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game
Posted: Sat Jan 14, 2012 1:20 pm
by Graeme Cole
Rhys Benjamin wrote:Ben Wilson wrote:Final score was 14th January 2011
In that case, it's Graeme Cole.
Oh yes, very good point.
Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game
Posted: Sat Jan 14, 2012 1:22 pm
by Ryan Taylor
Only Thomas Carey stated which year it would happen so I think he wins.
Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game
Posted: Sat Jan 14, 2012 6:02 pm
by Matt Morrison
Quite pissed off. Pretty sure I was going to win that.
I did a load of maths and worked out rates and stuff, I was going to say (honestly) 14th January at the same time I went for, 2am, but decided to add 2 days on to my maths to account for humans being a bit busier at xmas and not setting up a couple of the spambots. Would have been remarkably close if I'd stuck to my guns, which makes spambots a) remarkably independent (or the humans involved remarkably boring), and b) remarkably consistent.
Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game
Posted: Sat Jan 14, 2012 7:30 pm
by Gavin Chipper
Matt Morrison wrote:Quite pissed off. Pretty sure I was going to win that.
I did a load of maths and worked out rates and stuff, I was going to say (honestly) 14th January at the same time I went for, 2am, but decided to add 2 days on to my maths to account for humans being a bit busier at xmas and not setting up a couple of the spambots. Would have been remarkably close if I'd stuck to my guns, which makes spambots a) remarkably independent (or the humans involved remarkably boring), and b) remarkably consistent.
That's weird, because I worked out rates and stuff and came up with a completely different answer from you. I too was quite pissed off.
Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game
Posted: Sat Jan 14, 2012 9:36 pm
by Ian Volante
You sad bastards.
Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game
Posted: Sat Jan 14, 2012 11:34 pm
by Gavin Chipper
Ian Volante wrote:You sad bastards.
This
is a Countdown forum.
Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game
Posted: Sat Jan 14, 2012 11:46 pm
by Gavin Chipper
Gavin Chipper wrote:Matt Morrison wrote:Quite pissed off. Pretty sure I was going to win that.
I did a load of maths and worked out rates and stuff, I was going to say (honestly) 14th January at the same time I went for, 2am, but decided to add 2 days on to my maths to account for humans being a bit busier at xmas and not setting up a couple of the spambots. Would have been remarkably close if I'd stuck to my guns, which makes spambots a) remarkably independent (or the humans involved remarkably boring), and b) remarkably consistent.
That's weird, because I worked out rates and stuff and came up with a completely different answer from you. I too was quite pissed off.
I'd like to know your thinking by the way, Matt. I'll tell you mine:
I looked at the last three members and the spambot Ben mentioned primarily. Spambot rates can presumably vary a lot over time, so I wanted recent data.
Charlie Hastings to Matthew Clymer had a gap of about 22 2/3 days and a membership number gap of 2163. That's about 95 a day.
Matthew Clymer to Paul Keane was about 22.5 days and a gap of 2505. That's about 111 per day.
Paul Keane to Isaac3926 was about 18 2/3 days and a gap of 2066. That's about 111 a day.
Overall I think spmabot regisrations have increased, so I decided to go with 111 since it was consistent across the last two, and I didn't see it going down. We needed 1500 more so that was about 13.5 days and I added that on to Ben's posting time. I, not Matt, deserved to win this!
Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game
Posted: Tue Jan 31, 2012 9:09 pm
by Kirk Bevins
I'd just like to point out that I put zero effort into predicting this time. I hope this makes you both really happy, Gevin and Matt.