Yet another silly 'predict the time' game

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Ben Wilson
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Yet another silly 'predict the time' game

Post by Ben Wilson »

As many of you may know, due to the phenomenal amount of spambots who try to register at c4c, Charlie or myself have to approve every new member who registers here. This has resulted in the odd situation that whilst it says on the front page that there are 1226 members, the newest member has the id 46434. I've just had #48500 drop in my inbox, and immediately drop out of it again (no Countdown discussion for you, Isaac3926).

So, your game is to predict when #50000 drops into the inbox. Winner gets something trivial and probably imaginary at COLIN.
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Matt Morrison
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Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game

Post by Matt Morrison »

Monday 16th January at 2:02am.

I was originally going to say Friday 13th January at 1:53pm then I realised how ridiculous that would be! Chortle.
Gavin Chipper
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Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game

Post by Gavin Chipper »

Friday 13th January at 10:00am.
Matt Morrison wrote:I was originally going to say Friday 13th January at 1:53pm then I realised how ridiculous that would be! Chortle.
Why would that be ridiculous?
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Thomas Carey
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Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game

Post by Thomas Carey »

18th January 2012, 10:05 pm.
cheers maus
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James Robinson
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Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game

Post by James Robinson »

January 3rd, 17:15.

Wonder why I picked that time :?: :lol:
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Jon O'Neill
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Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game

Post by Jon O'Neill »

20th Jan, 00:00.00.
Eoin Monaghan
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Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game

Post by Eoin Monaghan »

January 21st - 12 noon.
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Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game

Post by Jennifer Steadman »

15th Jan, 3pm.
"There's leaders, and there's followers, but I'd rather be a dick than a swallower" - Aristotle
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Ian Volante
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Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game

Post by Ian Volante »

18th Jan, 16:24.
meles meles meles meles meles meles meles meles meles meles meles meles meles meles meles meles
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Matt Morrison
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Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game

Post by Matt Morrison »

I'm so confident.
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Graeme Cole
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Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game

Post by Graeme Cole »

11th January, 11:11:11.
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Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game

Post by Jayne Wisniewski »

15 January 22:08 ( my birthday and time )
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Kirk Bevins
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Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game

Post by Kirk Bevins »

13 January 12:34pm
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Ben Wilson
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Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game

Post by Ben Wilson »

Matt M- Monday 16th January at 2:02am.
Gev- Friday 13th January at 10:00am.
Tom Carey- 18th January 2012, 10:05 pm.
Jono- 20th Jan, 00:00.00.
Eoin- January 21st - 12 noon.
Jen- 15th Jan, 3pm.
Ian- 18th Jan, 16:24.
Graeme- 11th January, 11:11:11.
Jayne- 15 January 22:08 ( my birthday and time )
Kork- 13 January 12:34pm

Just 46 more spambots to go. So obviously, no more entries please.
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Ben Wilson
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Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game

Post by Ben Wilson »

Final score was 14th January 2011 at 5:47 AM, making this YAKBV, so well done to Kirk. :)

...And no congratulations to belindae8837 who will not have its account authorised on the grounds of not being, well, human.
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Rhys Benjamin
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Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game

Post by Rhys Benjamin »

Ben Wilson wrote:Final score was 14th January 2011
In that case, it's Graeme Cole.
The forum's resident JAILBAKER, who has SPONDERED several times...
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Graeme Cole
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Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game

Post by Graeme Cole »

Rhys Benjamin wrote:
Ben Wilson wrote:Final score was 14th January 2011
In that case, it's Graeme Cole.
:?:
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Rhys Benjamin
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Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game

Post by Rhys Benjamin »

Graeme Cole wrote:
Rhys Benjamin wrote:
Ben Wilson wrote:Final score was 14th January 2011
In that case, it's Graeme Cole.
:?:
The forum's resident JAILBAKER, who has SPONDERED several times...
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Graeme Cole
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Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game

Post by Graeme Cole »

Rhys Benjamin wrote:
Ben Wilson wrote:Final score was 14th January 2011
In that case, it's Graeme Cole.
Oh yes, very good point. :-)
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Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game

Post by Ryan Taylor »

Only Thomas Carey stated which year it would happen so I think he wins.
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Matt Morrison
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Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game

Post by Matt Morrison »

Quite pissed off. Pretty sure I was going to win that.

I did a load of maths and worked out rates and stuff, I was going to say (honestly) 14th January at the same time I went for, 2am, but decided to add 2 days on to my maths to account for humans being a bit busier at xmas and not setting up a couple of the spambots. Would have been remarkably close if I'd stuck to my guns, which makes spambots a) remarkably independent (or the humans involved remarkably boring), and b) remarkably consistent.
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Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game

Post by Gavin Chipper »

Matt Morrison wrote:Quite pissed off. Pretty sure I was going to win that.

I did a load of maths and worked out rates and stuff, I was going to say (honestly) 14th January at the same time I went for, 2am, but decided to add 2 days on to my maths to account for humans being a bit busier at xmas and not setting up a couple of the spambots. Would have been remarkably close if I'd stuck to my guns, which makes spambots a) remarkably independent (or the humans involved remarkably boring), and b) remarkably consistent.
That's weird, because I worked out rates and stuff and came up with a completely different answer from you. I too was quite pissed off.
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Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game

Post by Ian Volante »

You sad bastards.
meles meles meles meles meles meles meles meles meles meles meles meles meles meles meles meles
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Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game

Post by Gavin Chipper »

Ian Volante wrote:You sad bastards.
This is a Countdown forum.
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Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game

Post by Gavin Chipper »

Gavin Chipper wrote:
Matt Morrison wrote:Quite pissed off. Pretty sure I was going to win that.

I did a load of maths and worked out rates and stuff, I was going to say (honestly) 14th January at the same time I went for, 2am, but decided to add 2 days on to my maths to account for humans being a bit busier at xmas and not setting up a couple of the spambots. Would have been remarkably close if I'd stuck to my guns, which makes spambots a) remarkably independent (or the humans involved remarkably boring), and b) remarkably consistent.
That's weird, because I worked out rates and stuff and came up with a completely different answer from you. I too was quite pissed off.
I'd like to know your thinking by the way, Matt. I'll tell you mine:

I looked at the last three members and the spambot Ben mentioned primarily. Spambot rates can presumably vary a lot over time, so I wanted recent data.

Charlie Hastings to Matthew Clymer had a gap of about 22 2/3 days and a membership number gap of 2163. That's about 95 a day.
Matthew Clymer to Paul Keane was about 22.5 days and a gap of 2505. That's about 111 per day.
Paul Keane to Isaac3926 was about 18 2/3 days and a gap of 2066. That's about 111 a day.

Overall I think spmabot regisrations have increased, so I decided to go with 111 since it was consistent across the last two, and I didn't see it going down. We needed 1500 more so that was about 13.5 days and I added that on to Ben's posting time. I, not Matt, deserved to win this!
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Re: Yet another silly 'predict the time' game

Post by Kirk Bevins »

I'd just like to point out that I put zero effort into predicting this time. I hope this makes you both really happy, Gevin and Matt.
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