Search found 26 matches

by Dave Ricesky
Wed Feb 10, 2016 5:59 pm
Forum: Countdown - Spoilers
Topic: Spoilers for Wednesday 10 February 2016 (Series 74 Prelim 13)
Replies: 16
Views: 4269

Re: Spoilers for Wednesday 10 February 2016 (Series 74 Prelim 13)

ENMASKED is listed as valid on Apterous. Sigh. It is valid indeed. ENMASK an alternative spelling of INMASK, but the search bar doesn't find ENMASKED. Susie should always check the non-inflected word. I don't understand this at all - if you've spent even a little bit of time on the ODO since its ma...
by Dave Ricesky
Fri Jan 29, 2016 4:46 pm
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?
Replies: 134
Views: 40363

Re: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?

Which ones give the best average solvability across all sets of 4 (so for example 12 has 88.28% with 16, 18, 24, 91.76% with 37, 62, 87, etc. and then taking the average of these)? Was what I was originally thinking, though you've answered an equally interesting question anyway. In that case, your ...
by Dave Ricesky
Fri Jan 29, 2016 4:04 pm
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?
Replies: 134
Views: 40363

Re: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?

Which large numbers are generally most useful, across all combinations with other numbers, and which are least useful? 97 and 12 respectively? Nope. The most useful numbers, in order (some omissions) are: 11, 13, 12, 14, 17, ... , 92, 90, 98, 96, 100 97 comes in 15th from bottom. As you can see, 12...
by Dave Ricesky
Fri Jan 29, 2016 3:47 pm
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?
Replies: 134
Views: 40363

Re: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?

By the way, if you're only playing 4L, the best possible set of large numbers is 12, 14, 17, 57, with 49,438 / 49,445 (99.99%) of games solvable - only 7 games not solvable! The unsolvable games are: 12, 14, 17, 57, 1, 1 ---> 344 12, 14, 17, 57, 1, 1 ---> 381 12, 14, 17, 57, 1, 1 ---> 423 12, 14, 17...
by Dave Ricesky
Fri Jan 29, 2016 3:34 pm
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?
Replies: 134
Views: 40363

Re: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?

Where do 12, 37, 62, 87 fall? 2 prime numbers, and 62 having 31 (a prime greater than 10) as a factor should put it much higher than the default. 87 = 3*29, but anyway... 12, 37, 62, 87 comes 1,810,325th out of 2,555,190 (30th percentile, so worse than 97, 98, 99, 100) with a breakdown as follows: ...
by Dave Ricesky
Fri Jan 29, 2016 11:32 am
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?
Replies: 134
Views: 40363

Re: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?

Great topic, enjoyed reading all this! Harder question: if one were designing a new variant, which four large numbers (in the range 11-100) make the game hardest (i.e. fewest games solvable) and which easiest (i.e. most games solvable)? I have an answer for you, Charlie. The easiest four numbers ar...
by Dave Ricesky
Thu Jan 28, 2016 3:52 pm
Forum: Countdown - Current recaps
Topic: Tuesday 26 January 2016 (Series 74, Prelim 2)
Replies: 13
Views: 4700

Re: Tuesday 26 January 2016 (Series 74, Prelim 2)

Johnny Canuck wrote:Tim's route to 220 is not the one I would have ever thought to take...
Obviously you saw (100 * 50 + 75) / 25 + 10 + 7, right?
by Dave Ricesky
Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:43 pm
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?
Replies: 134
Views: 40363

Re: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?

Ian Volante wrote:
Dave Ricesky wrote:you can reach values larger than 2^31
Really? How, given that 25*50*75*100*10*10 is under 1x10^9 and 2^31 is >2x10^9? Some intermediate factoring steps?
Charlie's question was about using different sets of large numbers - and 100*99*98*97*10*10 is way too big, for example.
by Dave Ricesky
Fri Jan 22, 2016 11:22 am
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?
Replies: 134
Views: 40363

Re: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?

Just an update on Charlie's question - I've got full statistics for how many 0,1,2 or 3 large games are gettable with each possible set of large numbers. I was expecting to be completely done on the 4L by now as well, but my program hit a snag after I kicked it off and I didn't notice until now. For...
by Dave Ricesky
Sun Jan 17, 2016 7:29 pm
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?
Replies: 134
Views: 40363

Re: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?

Dave Ricesky wrote:Charlie, I'll be able to answer that question restricted only to 4L picks in the next few days. Over all picks 6S to 4L, it seems to me to be intractable to get a complete answer at the moment.
Changed my mind. I can answer the whole thing within the next week, probably.
by Dave Ricesky
Sun Jan 17, 2016 5:21 pm
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?
Replies: 134
Views: 40363

Re: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?

I'm okay with an imperfect answer, I'm sure we can get somewhere with a bit of stochastic hill climbing or some such. (I haven't tried this myself yet but it would make an interesting contest I reckon.) Hill climbing methods don't seem directly applicable here, since everything in sight is discrete...
by Dave Ricesky
Sun Jan 17, 2016 2:15 pm
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?
Replies: 134
Views: 40363

Re: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?

I'm okay with an imperfect answer, I'm sure we can get somewhere with a bit of stochastic hill climbing or some such. (I haven't tried this myself yet but it would make an interesting contest I reckon.) Hill climbing methods don't seem directly applicable here, since everything in sight is discrete...
by Dave Ricesky
Sat Jan 16, 2016 10:07 pm
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?
Replies: 134
Views: 40363

Re: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?

Charlie, I'll be able to answer that question restricted only to 4L picks in the next few days. Over all picks 6S to 4L, it seems to me to be intractable to get a complete answer at the moment.
by Dave Ricesky
Fri Jan 15, 2016 4:12 pm
Forum: Countdown - Spoilers
Topic: CoC Quarter-Final 2 Spoilers For Friday January 15th 2016
Replies: 30
Views: 11209

Re: CoC Quarter-Final 2 Spoilers For Friday January 15th 2016

3rd numbers alt: (25 * 50 + 6) * 75 / 100 = 942
by Dave Ricesky
Fri Jan 15, 2016 3:26 pm
Forum: Countdown - Spoilers
Topic: CoC Quarter-Final 1 Spoilers For Thursday January 14th 2016
Replies: 7
Views: 3907

Re: CoC Quarter-Final 1 Spoilers For Thursday January 14th 2016

Excellent, dramatic game, although I'm unclear on the rationale behind going for 2 large in the final numbers game. If you're "relying on the conundrum" anyway, why not try for a trickier numbers game - then, even if you don't get it and your opponent does, you can "rely on the conun...
by Dave Ricesky
Fri Jan 15, 2016 10:57 am
Forum: Countdown - Spoilers
Topic: CoC Quarter-Final 1 Spoilers For Thursday January 14th 2016
Replies: 7
Views: 3907

Re: CoC Quarter-Final 1 Spoilers For Thursday January 14th 2016

Shame Giles didn't take the chance to embarrass Nick a little when he made a remark along the lines of "I bet you both have the same word" after both contestants declared 9. Excellent, dramatic game, although I'm unclear on the rationale behind going for 2 large in the final numbers game. ...
by Dave Ricesky
Thu Jan 14, 2016 1:47 pm
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?
Replies: 134
Views: 40363

Re: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?

Jon, how long does your program take to solve all the numbers games? I've dug up my old code (and made a couple of tweaks) and it can chow through all the standard numbers games, including recording an optimal* solution to each one, in a matter of minutes. That's mightily impressive - is there any ...
by Dave Ricesky
Wed Jan 13, 2016 9:15 pm
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?
Replies: 134
Views: 40363

Re: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?

But sometimes these alternatives don't exist. What numbers solution requires the highest intermediate solution? I'm afraid that's one question I can't answer without significantly slowing down my solver - some optimisations I've made to it mean that it discards quite a lot of potential solutions ea...
by Dave Ricesky
Wed Jan 13, 2016 5:11 pm
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?
Replies: 134
Views: 40363

Re: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?

Since you asked so nicely, you're on! Running now, so hopefully should have some results tomorrow... Jon, how long does your program take to solve all the numbers games? I've dug up my old code (and made a couple of tweaks) and it can chow through all the standard numbers games, including recording...
by Dave Ricesky
Wed Jan 13, 2016 11:57 am
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?
Replies: 134
Views: 40363

Re: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?

Yep, that agrees with the rough memory I had from ~2 years ago when I did this myself. I don't remember 2 or 4 large being quite so similar to 3 large in terms of gettable targets, but my overall surprise at Nasty 3 large being THE most gettable numbers variant probably just dulled my memory of the ...
by Dave Ricesky
Tue Jan 12, 2016 4:11 pm
Forum: Countdown - General
Topic: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?
Replies: 134
Views: 40363

Re: How many Numbers puzzles are there in total?

Jon, I think you should do a similar analysis on the solvability of numbers games with the "nasty" large numbers as used in a couple of special episodes (those larges are 12, 37, 62, 87). I've done that analysis in the past and there's something very obviously surprising about the results ...
by Dave Ricesky
Mon Jan 11, 2016 6:28 pm
Forum: Countdown - Spoilers
Topic: CoC Preliminary 6 Spoilers For Monday January 11th 2016
Replies: 17
Views: 5989

Re: CoC Preliminary 6 Spoilers For Monday January 11th 2016

Gavin Chipper wrote:FECKER was there as an alternative Callum beater (though not the max) in round 10.
Or HEIFER, or even CHIEFER (if there's still a one syllable rule).
by Dave Ricesky
Mon Jan 11, 2016 5:06 pm
Forum: Countdown - Spoilers
Topic: CoC Preliminary 5 Spoilers For Friday January 8th 2016
Replies: 24
Views: 5986

Re: CoC Preliminary 5 Spoilers For Friday January 8th 2016

SPEARGUN coming up was clearly a bad omen for George (cf. Episode 6054, his other loss)